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    Atlantic Multi-decadal Variability and the UK ACSIS programme


    Sutton, R.T. and McCarthy, Gerard D. and Robson, James and Sinha, B. and Archibald, A. and Gray, L.J. (2018) Atlantic Multi-decadal Variability and the UK ACSIS programme. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99. pp. 415-426. ISSN 1520-0477

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    Abstract

    Atlantic multidecadal variability (AMV) is the term used to describe the pattern of variability in North Atlantic sea surface temperatures (SSTs) that is characterized by decades of basinwide warm or cool anomalies, relative to the global mean. AMV has been associated with numerous climate impacts in many regions of the world including decadal variations in temperature and rainfall patterns, hurricane activity, and sea level changes. Given its importance, understanding the physical processes that drive AMV and the extent to which its evolution is predictable is a key challenge in climate science. A leading hypothesis is that natural variations in ocean circulation control changes in ocean heat content and consequently AMV phases. However, this view has been challenged recently by claims that changing natural and anthropogenic radiative forcings are critical drivers of AMV. Others have argued that changes in ocean circulation are not required. Here, we review the leading hypotheses and mechanisms for AMV and discuss the key debates. In particular, we highlight the need for a holistic understanding of AMV. This perspective is a key motivation for a major new U.K. research program: the North Atlantic Climate System Integrated Study (ACSIS), which brings together seven of the United Kingdom’s leading environmental research institutes to enable a broad spectrum approach to the challenges of AMV. ACSIS will deliver the first fully integrated assessment of recent decadal changes in the North Atlantic, will investigate the attribution of these changes to their proximal and ultimate causes, and will assess the potential to predict future changes.

    Item Type: Article
    Keywords: Thermohaline Circulation; Impact; North-Athlantic; Ocean Circulation; Chemistry; Meridional Overtuning Circulation; Model; Meteorology & Athmospheric Sciences; Trends; Climate Variability; Oscillation; TRENDS; Observations; Precipitation variability; Ocean temperature;
    Academic Unit: Faculty of Social Sciences > Geography
    Item ID: 12180
    Identification Number: https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0266.1
    Depositing User: Gerard McCarthy
    Date Deposited: 20 Jan 2020 11:41
    Journal or Publication Title: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Refereed: Yes
    URI:

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