Alexander, Paul John and Fealy, Rowan and Mills, G.M. (2016) Simulating the impact of urban development pathways on the local climate: A scenario-based analysis in the greater Dublin region,Ireland. Landscape and Urban Planning, 152. pp. 72-89. ISSN 0169-2046

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Abstract

In this study, the impact of different urban development scenarios on neighbourhood climate are examined. The investigation considers the relative impact differing policy/planning choices will have on the local-scale climate across a city during a typical climatological year (TCY). The aim is to demonstrate a modelling approach which couples a climate-based land classification and simple urban climate modeland how this can be used to examine the impact differing urban forms and design strategies have on neigh-bourhood scale partitioning of energy and resulting consequences. Utilising the Surface Urban Energy and Water Balance (SUEWS) model (Järvi et al., 2011) hourly fluxes of sensible, latent and stored heat are simulated for an entire year under four different urban development scenarios. The land cover scenarios are based on those obtained by the MOLAND model for 2026 (Brennan et al., 2009) in our case study city Dublin (Ireland). MOLAND LULC are translated into local climate zones (Stewart and Oke, 2012) for examination. Subsequently, the types of building forms, vegetation type and coverage are modified based on realistic examples currently found across Dublin city. Our results focused on 2 principle aspects: the seasonality of energy partitioning with respect to vegetation and average diurnal partitioning of energy.Our analysis illustrates that compact scenarios are suitable form of future urban development in terms of reducing the spatial impact on the existing surface energy budget in Dublin. Design interventions which maintain the level of vegetation at a ratio ≥ 9:16 to artificial surfaces reduces the impact.

Item Type:	Article
Keywords:	Neighbourhood climate; Urban planning; SUEWS modelling; Surface energy balance; Low impact development; Local climate zones;
Academic Unit:	Faculty of Social Sciences > Geography Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Institutes > Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units, ICARUS
Item ID:	8736
Identification Number:	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2016.02.006
Depositing User:	Rowan Fealy
Date Deposited:	06 Sep 2017 08:58
Journal or Publication Title:	Landscape and Urban Planning
Publisher:	Elsevier
Refereed:	Yes
URI:	Publisher
Use Licence:	This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here

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