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    Effect of the Irish Civil War 1922-1923 on suicide rates in Ireland: a retrospective investigation of the archives of the registrar general for Saorstát Éireann


    Osman, Mugtaba and Parnell, Andrew and McCauley, MacDara (2018) Effect of the Irish Civil War 1922-1923 on suicide rates in Ireland: a retrospective investigation of the archives of the registrar general for Saorstát Éireann. Epidemiology Biostatistics and Public Health, 15 (3). e12920. ISSN 2282-0930

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    Abstract

    Introduction: Emile Durkheim differentiated between two types of wars: National and Civil Wars in terms of effect on suicide mortality. This study investigates Durkheim’s assertion by examining the effect of Irish Civil War on the 1882-1928 suicide rates trend. Method: The study is based on vital statistics data sourced from Central Statistics Office of Ireland. We used AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average with Explanatory variables (ARIMAX) design adopting Bayesian approach. Results: The Standardized Mortality Rate SMR for death by suicide for the total Irish population during the civil war period were reduced by 0.041417 (95% Credible Interval CI: -0.2421749 to 0.15934012). The SMR for death by suicide for the total Irish population during the First World War period were reduced by 0.206202 (95% CI: -0.3776463 to -0.03475746). Conclusion: Evidence from this study support a significant drop in terms of the intensity of suicidal behaviour in the Irish population during World War I more so than during the Irish Civil War.

    Item Type: Article
    Additional Information: This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives 4.0 International License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
    Keywords: suicide; Ireland; Irish Civil war; World War 1; Durkheim’s theory;
    Academic Unit: Faculty of Science and Engineering > Research Institutes > Hamilton Institute
    Faculty of Science and Engineering > Mathematics and Statistics
    Item ID: 13272
    Identification Number: https://doi.org/10.2427/12920
    Depositing User: Andrew Parnell
    Date Deposited: 24 Sep 2020 13:54
    Journal or Publication Title: Epidemiology Biostatistics and Public Health
    Refereed: Yes
    URI:

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