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    Changing climate shifts timing of European floods


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    Blöschl, Günter, Hall, Julia, Parajka, Juraj, Perdigão, Rui A. P., Merz, Bruno, Arheimer, Berit, Aronica, Giuseppe T., Bilibashi, Ardian, Bonacci, Ognjen, Borga, Marco, Čanjevac, Ivan, Castellarin, Attilio, Chirico, Giovanni B., Claps, Pierluigi, Fiala, Károly, Frolova, Natalia, Gorbachova, Liudmyla, Gül, Ali, Hannaford, Jamie, Harrigan, Shaun, Kireeva, Maria, Kiss, Andrea, Kjeldsen, Thomas R., Kohnová, Silvia, Koskela, Jarkko J., Ledvinka, Ondrej, MacDonald, Neil, Mavrova-Guirguinova, Maria, Mediero, Luis, Merz, Ralf, Molnar, Peter, Montanari, Alberto, Murphy, Conor, Osuch, Marzena, Ovcharuk, Valeryia, Radevski, Ivan, Rogger, Magdalena, Salinas, José L., Sauquet, Eric, Šraj, Mojca, Szolgay, Jan, Viglione, Alberto, Volpi, Elena, Wilson, Donna, Zaimi, Klodian and Živković, Nenad (2017) Changing climate shifts timing of European floods. Science, 357 (6351). pp. 588-590. ISSN 0036-8075

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    Abstract

    A warming climate is expected to have an impact on the magnitude and timing of river floods; however, no consistent large-scale climate change signal in observed flood magnitudes has been identified so far. We analyzed the timing of river floods in Europe over the past five decades, using a pan-European database from 4262 observational hydrometric stations, and found clear patterns of change in flood timing. Warmer temperatures have led to earlier spring snowmelt floods throughout northeastern Europe; delayed winter storms associated with polar warming have led to later winter floods around the North Sea and some sectors of the Mediterranean coast; and earlier soil moisture maxima have led to earlier winter floods in western Europe. Our results highlight the existence of a clear climate signal in flood observations at the continental scale.
    Item Type: Article
    Keywords: Trends; Multidisciplinary Sciences; Large-Scale; Environmental aspects; Floods; Climatic changes;
    Academic Unit: Faculty of Social Sciences > Geography
    Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Institutes > Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units, ICARUS
    Item ID: 11683
    Identification Number: 10.1126/science.aan2506
    Depositing User: Conor Murphy
    Date Deposited: 12 Nov 2019 17:11
    Journal or Publication Title: Science
    Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science
    Refereed: Yes
    Related URLs:
    URI: https://mural.maynoothuniversity.ie/id/eprint/11683
    Use Licence: This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here

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