Slater, Louise J. and Anderson, Bailey and Buechel, Marcus and Dadson, Simon and Han, Shasha and Harrigan, Shaun and Kelder, Timo and Kowal, Katie and Lees, Thomas and Matthews, Tom and Murphy, Conor and Wilby, Robert L. (2021) Nonstationary weather and water extremes: a review of methods for their detection, attribution, and management. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25 (7). pp. 3897-3935. ISSN 1607-7938

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Abstract

Hydroclimatic extremes such as intense rainfall, floods, droughts, heatwaves, and wind or storms have devastating effects each year. One of the key challenges for society is understanding how these extremes are evolving and likely to unfold beyond their historical distributions under the influence of multiple drivers such as changes in climate, land cover, and other human factors. Methods for analysing hydroclimatic extremes have advanced considerably in recent decades. Here we provide a review of the drivers, metrics, and methods for the detection, attribution, management, and projection of nonstationary hydroclimatic extremes. We discuss issues and uncertainty associated with these approaches (e.g. arising from insufficient record length, spurious nonstationarities, or incomplete representation of nonstationary sources in modelling frameworks), examine empirical and simulation-based frameworks for analysis of nonstationary extremes, and identify gaps for future research.

Item Type:	Article
Additional Information:	Cite as: Slater, L.J., Anderson, B., Buechel, M., Dadson, S., Han, S., Harrigan, S., Kelder, T., Kowal, K., Lees, T., Matthews, T., Murphy, C. and Wilby, R.L. (2021) 'Nonstationary weather and water extremes: a review of methods for their detection, attribution, and management', Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 25(7), 3897, available: https://link.gale.com/apps/doc/A667733590/AONE?u=nuim&sid=summon&xid=bd758c2e [accessed 25 Apr 2022].
Keywords:	nonstationary; Hydroclimatic extremes; climate;
Academic Unit:	Faculty of Social Sciences > Geography Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Institutes > Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units, ICARUS
Item ID:	15856
Identification Number:	https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-3897-2021
Depositing User:	Conor Murphy
Date Deposited:	25 Apr 2022 09:07
Journal or Publication Title:	Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Publisher:	Gale Academic Onefile
Refereed:	Yes
URI:	Publisher
Use Licence:	This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here

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