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    Imagining climate resilient futures: A layered Delphi panel approach

    Flood, Stephen and Rogan, Fionn and Revez, Alexandra and McGookin, Connor and O’Dwyer, Barry and Harris, Clodagh and Dunphy, Niall and Byrne, Edmond and Gallachóir, Brian Ó and Bolger, Paul and Boyle, Evan and Glynn, James and Barry, John and Ellis, Geraint and Mullally, Gerard (2023) Imagining climate resilient futures: A layered Delphi panel approach. Futures, 147. p. 103100. ISSN 00163287

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    This paper in using a novel application of the Delphi panel method, explores and consolidates the future visions of a low carbon and climate resilient future in Ireland through community-based visioning processes that emerged through co-created, deliberative approaches at local level. It embraces a visioning process that applies a transdisciplinary approach, which aims to match different visions and stakeholder needs, combining bottom-up and top-down perspectives. Community visions were articulated by means of a series of deliberative futures workshops facilitated by the transdisciplinary project research team. Through iterations of the Delphi feedback loop, the notion of deep and shallow agreement is explored to examine the spectrum of consensus to dissent around the co-developed future visions and pathways of climate action, articulated by the Irish community case study. This approach enables a critical exploration of the conventional science-policy-practice nexus through the use of innovative creative communication and engagement methods. Findings suggest that more deliberative forums which bring together a diverse range of stakeholders are needed to develop a shared vision for the future; the importance of language use and the creation of a shared vocabulary of climate action; and the power of civic imaginaries in helping to create useful future narratives.

    Item Type: Article
    Keywords: Delphi panel; Community visioning; Societal transitions; Transdisciplinary; Convergence and divergence;
    Academic Unit: Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Institutes > Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units, ICARUS
    Item ID: 17444
    Identification Number:
    Depositing User: Conor Murphy
    Date Deposited: 17 Aug 2023 14:07
    Journal or Publication Title: Futures
    Publisher: Elsevier
    Refereed: Yes
    Use Licence: This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here

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