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    Latent Tensor Bayesian Models for Estimating Complex Interactions in Plant Variety Testing.


    dos Santos, Antonia Alessandra Lemos (2023) Latent Tensor Bayesian Models for Estimating Complex Interactions in Plant Variety Testing. PhD thesis, National University of Ireland Maynooth.

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    Abstract

    This thesis addresses the critical challenge of predicting crop yield. As the demand for food surges due to population growth, accurate and efficient predictive models become increasingly important. Leveraging a comprehensive database from the Horizon 2020 InnoVar project, which includes variables across phenomics, genomics, soil, and weather conditions, we aim to extend the existing Additive Main Effects and Multiplicative Interaction (AMMI) modelling framework. Our work is divided into three key contributions. First, we propose a computationally efficient Bayesian AMMI model using variational inference, addressing the high computational costs often associated with traditional Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Second, we introduce the Bayesian Additive Main effects and Multiplicative Interaction Tensor (BAMMIT) model, which extends the AMMI model to accommodate multiple categorical variables. Third, we present the Clustered Bayesian Additive Main Effects and Multiplicative Interaction Tensor (CBAMMIT) model, incorporating Gaussian Mixture Models to allow for the inclusion of categorical representations of numerical variables. Our findings show that these extensions not only improve predictive accuracy but also offer probabilistic assessments of predictions. They have real-world applicability, as demonstrated using data from Ireland, and can potentially guide stakeholders in agriculture – from farmers to policymakers – in making informed decisions.
    Item Type: Thesis (PhD)
    Keywords: Latent Tensor Bayesian Models; Estimating Complex Interactions; Plant Variety Testing;
    Academic Unit: Faculty of Science and Engineering > Mathematics and Statistics
    Item ID: 19045
    Depositing User: IR eTheses
    Date Deposited: 15 Oct 2024 11:32
    URI: https://mural.maynoothuniversity.ie/id/eprint/19045
    Use Licence: This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here

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