Santer, B.D. and Wigley, T.M. and Mears, C. and Wentz, F.J. and Klein, S.A. and Seidel, D.J. and Taylor, K.E. and Thorne, Peter and Wehner, M.F. and Gleckler, P.J. and Boyle, J.S. and Collins, W.D. and Dixon, K.W. and Doutriaux, C. and Free, M. and Fu, Q. and Hansen, J.E. and Jones, G.S. and Ruedy, R. and Karl, T.R. and Lanzante, J.R. and Meehl, G.A. and Ramaswamy, V. and Russell, G. and Schmidt, G.A. (2005) Amplification of Surface Temperature Trends and Variability in the Tropical Atmosphere. Science, 309 (5740). pp. 1551-1556. ISSN 1095-9203

Preview

Download (623kB) | Preview

Abstract

The month-to-month variability of tropical temperatures is larger in the troposphere than at Earth's surface. This amplification behavior is similar in a range of observations and climate model simulations and is consistent with basic theory. On multidecadal time scales, tropospheric amplification of surface warming is a robust feature of model simulations, but it occurs in only one observational data set. Other observations show weak, or even negative, amplification. These results suggest either that different physical mechanisms control amplification processes on monthly and decadal time scales, and models fail to capture such behavior; or (more plausibly) that residual errors in several observational data sets used here affect their representation of long-term trends

Item Type:	Article
Keywords:	Amplification; Surface Temperature Trends; Variability; Tropical Atmosphere;
Academic Unit:	Faculty of Social Sciences > Geography Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Institutes > Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units, ICARUS
Item ID:	6573
Identification Number:	https://doi.org/10.1126/science.1114867
Depositing User:	Peter Thorne
Date Deposited:	11 Nov 2015 16:56
Journal or Publication Title:	Science
Publisher:	American Association for the Advancement of Science
Refereed:	Yes
URI:	Publisher
Use Licence:	This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here

Repository Staff Only(login required)

Item control page

Downloads

Origin of downloads