Murphy, Conor and Fealy, Rowan and Charlton, Ro and Sweeney, John (2006) The reliability of an ‘off-the-shelf’ conceptual rainfall runoff model for use in climate impact assessment: uncertainty quantification using Latin hypercube sampling. Area, 38 (1). pp. 65-78. ISSN 0004-0894

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Abstract

Much uncertainty is derived from the application of conceptual rainfall runoff models. In this paper, HYSIM, an ‘off-the-shelf’ conceptual rainfall runoff model, is applied to a suite of catchments throughout Ireland in preparation for use in climate impact assessment. Parameter uncertainty is assessed using the GLUE methodology. Given the lack of source code available for the model, parameter sampling is carried out using Latin hypercube sampling. Uncertainty bounds are constructed for model output. These bounds will be used to quantify uncertainty in future simulations as they include error derived from data measurement, model structure and parameterization.

Item Type:	Article
Keywords:	Ireland; climate change; uncertainty; Latin hypercube sampling; hydrologic model; transferability;
Academic Unit:	Faculty of Social Sciences > Geography Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Institutes > Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units, ICARUS
Item ID:	8747
Identification Number:	https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1475-4762.2006.00656.x
Depositing User:	Rowan Fealy
Date Deposited:	06 Sep 2017 11:14
Journal or Publication Title:	Area
Publisher:	Wiley
Refereed:	Yes
URI:	Publisher
Use Licence:	This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here

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