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    Effects of climate change on the Atlantic Heat Conveyor relevant to the UK


    McCarthy, Gerard, Jackson, L.C., Cunningham, S.A., Holiday, N.P., Smeed, D.A. and Stevens, D.P. (2020) Effects of climate change on the Atlantic Heat Conveyor relevant to the UK. Marine Climate change Impact partnership. pp. 190-207.

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    Abstract

    The Atlantic Heat Conveyor or Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a major factor in maintenance of the climate and marine environment of the UK. The AMOC is predicted to weaken in the coming century due to climate change. The AMOC is currently in a weakened state and the subpolar North Atlantic appears to be entering a cool (and fresh) state. However, record cold temperatures in 2015 were found to be driven largely by air–sea heat loss rather than reduced AMOC. Large biogeographical and climatic shifts are expected in response to this shift to cooler conditions. There is little support for the idea that the AMOC will abruptly shut down despite new ideas suggesting more plausible mechanisms related to a shutdown. Skill in predicting climate on decadal timescales can be derived from correct initialisation of AMOC in prediction systems hence increasing the capacity to manage, mitigate, and adapt to AMOC related climate changes.
    Item Type: Article
    Additional Information: Cite as: : McCarthy, G.D., Jackson, L.C., Cunningham, S.A., Holliday, N.P, Smeed, D.A. and Stevens, D.P. (2020) Effects of climate change on the Atlantic Heat Conveyor relevant to the UK. MCCIP Science Review 2020,190– 207.
    Keywords: Atlantic Heat Conveyor; Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation; climatic shifts;
    Academic Unit: Faculty of Social Sciences > Geography
    Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Institutes > Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units, ICARUS
    Item ID: 15845
    Identification Number: 10.14465/2020.arc09.ahc
    Depositing User: Gerard McCarthy
    Date Deposited: 14 Apr 2022 10:31
    Journal or Publication Title: Marine Climate change Impact partnership
    Publisher: MCCIP Science Review 2020
    Refereed: Yes
    Related URLs:
    URI: https://mural.maynoothuniversity.ie/id/eprint/15845
    Use Licence: This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here

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