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    Regime Shifts in Holocene Paleohydrology as Recorded by Asian Speleothems


    James, Alexander, Hu, Jun, Emile‐Geay, Julien, Partin, Judson W., Scroxton, Nick, Malik, Nishant and Gao, Yuan (2025) Regime Shifts in Holocene Paleohydrology as Recorded by Asian Speleothems. Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology, 40 (1). ISSN 2572-4517

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    Abstract

    Speleothem oxygen isotope records offer unique insights into Asian Monsoon evolution, withtheir precise chronologies used to identify abrupt climatic events. However, individual records are sometimesused to draw broad conclusions about global climate, without considering the dynamical context in which theyexist. We present a robust framework for assessing the regional significance, and hence the potential globalsignificance, of paleoclimate events, using the proposed Meghalayan age onset (associated with the “4.2 kaevent”) as a case study. Analyzing 14 well‐dated speleothem oxygen isotope records from the SISAL v3database and recent literature, we investigate the regional coherency of rapid shifts in Asian paleohydrology,which is the regional center of action for the proposed event, over the Holocene. Three robust methods fail todetect spatially coherent variability consistent with a 4.2 ka event across Asia, either because none exists orbecause it is of insufficient magnitude. In contrast, the 8.2 ka event is expressed in most records that resolve it.The absence of a clear isotopic excursion across this data set suggests that the “4.2 ka megadrought” was notglobal, with important implications for archeology and geochronology. This casts doubt on the proposal that the4.2 ka event marks the onset of a new geologic age. We do, however, observe support for a gradual isotopicenrichment between 3.9 and 3.6 ka, followed by partial recovery—consistent with the “Double Drying”hypothesis and possibly related to changes in El Niño‐Southern Oscillation variability
    Item Type: Article
    Keywords: Regime Shifts; Holocene Paleohydrology; Recorded by Asian Speleothems;
    Academic Unit: Faculty of Social Sciences > Geography
    Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Institutes > Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units, ICARUS
    Item ID: 20632
    Identification Number: 10.1029/2024PA004974
    Depositing User: IR Editor
    Date Deposited: 30 Sep 2025 10:40
    Journal or Publication Title: Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology
    Publisher: American Geophysical Union
    Refereed: Yes
    Related URLs:
    URI: https://mural.maynoothuniversity.ie/id/eprint/20632
    Use Licence: This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here

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