Breed, Ray, Opar, David A., Johnston, Rich D., Hickey, Jack T., Williams, Morgan D., Maniar, Nirav and Timmins, Ryan G. (2025) The Relationship Between Running Load, Strength, Muscle Architecture and Hamstring Strain Injury Across Two Seasons of Elite Male Australian Football: A Prospective Cohort Study. Sports Medicine - Open, 11 (1). ISSN 2198-9761
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Abstract
Background Previous research has demonstrated a relationship between modifiable (e.g. hamstring strength,
muscle fascicle length and high-speed running load), non-modifiable factors (e.g. age, previous injury) and hamstring
strain injury (HSI) risk. However, these factors have mostly been assessed in isolation and no study to date has
investigated the associations between running load, strength and muscle architecture with HSI risk. The study aim
was to explore the interactions between modifiable HSI risk factors that are commonly assessed within elite Australian
footballers.
Methods A prospective cohort study design. Eccentric knee flexor strength and biceps femoris long head (BFlh)
fascicle lengths were measured in 299 unique elite-level Australian Football players (age 24 ± 4 years, height
188 ± 8 cm, and weight 87 ± 9 kg) during two pre-seasons. Data from wearable micro-sensor units (high-speed
running at ≥ 24k/hr and total distance) were collected over two seasons of elite Australian Football.
Results Across 408 player-seasons there were 67 HSIs (16.4%), which took an average of 17 ± 10 days and 23 ± 12
days to return to full training and competitive matches, respectively. Univariate analysis showed that BFlh pennation
angle (OR 1.6, 95% CI 1.2–2.2), fascicle length (OR 0.6, 95% CI 0.5–0.9), weekly high-speed running distance (OR 1.7,
95% CI 1.2–2.4), weekly change in total distance (OR 1.5, 95% CI 1.1–2.2) and weekly change in high-speed running
distance (OR 1.6, 1.2–2.2) were significantly different between the injured and uninjured group (P < 0.05). Combining
strength and architectural variables of BFlh pennation angle, fascicle length and peak force was able to explain 12% of
variance in the risk of sustaining a HSI. The addition of running load exposure variables of weekly distance and change
in weekly distance to the multivariate model increased the explained variance to 20%.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Keywords: | Running Load; Strength; Muscle Architecture; Hamstring; Strain Injury; Elite Male Australian Football; Cohort Study; |
| Academic Unit: | Faculty of Science & Engineering > Sports Science and Nutrition |
| Item ID: | 21400 |
| Identification Number: | 10.1186/s40798-025-00944-4 |
| Depositing User: | Jack Hickey |
| Date Deposited: | 09 Apr 2026 13:34 |
| Journal or Publication Title: | Sports Medicine - Open |
| Publisher: | Springer |
| Refereed: | Yes |
| Related URLs: | |
| Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
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