Chang, Annie Y.-Y., Ramos, Maria-Helena, Harrigan, Shaun, Prudhomme, Christel, Tilmant, François, Domeisen, Daniela I.V. and Zappa, Massimiliano (2024) Exploring hydrological system performance for alpine low flows in local and continental prediction systems. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 56. p. 102056. ISSN 2214-5818
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Abstract
Study region: The European alpine space.
Study focus: Despite the advancements in hydrological modeling, there is a lack of comparative
studies quantifying the performance differences between local and large-scale models,
particularly in the context of drought and low flow assessment. This study addresses this gap by
designing a framework to evaluate the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS), a continental
system, in simulating low flow events across 101 alpine stations from 1999–2018, with detailed
comparisons to two local systems — GR6J in France and PREVAH in Switzerland — at 34 of
these stations.
New hydrological insights for the region: The results show that the local systems, PREVAH
and GR6J, generally outperform the continental system EFAS for almost all stations. The
performance gap between the systems increases as low flow conditions intensify, highlighting
the importance of local systems for extreme low flow events. Despite EFAS not being specifically
set up for low flows, it has shown an overall acceptable performance compared to the local
hydrological systems, especially at locations that are not calibrated within the EFAS system,
indicating its potential in ungauged areas. This study lays a foundation for understanding how
a continental hydrological system like EFAS can complement local systems or fill the gap when
a local system is unavailable to provide reliable predictions of low flow conditions.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Keywords: | Low flows; EFAS; GR6J; PREVAH; Continental system; Local system; European alps; |
| Academic Unit: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Geography Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Institutes > Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units, ICARUS |
| Item ID: | 21628 |
| Identification Number: | 10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.102056 |
| Depositing User: | ICARUS Geography |
| Date Deposited: | 22 May 2026 14:17 |
| Journal or Publication Title: | Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies |
| Publisher: | Elsevier |
| Refereed: | Yes |
| Related URLs: | |
| Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
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