Kalayil Uthaman, Ashly (2025) Wave Projections from North Atlantic to the Irish Coast. PhD thesis, National University of Ireland Maynooth.
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Abstract
Shaped by distant storms and local winds, the waves reaching Ireland’s coast do not
only carry energy, but also reflect the changing patterns of the climate – with growing
impacts on coasts
This idea is central to this thesis. As climate changes, ocean waves around Ireland will
also change. These shifts affect both the offshore conditions and wave behaviour near
the coast, including how far they run up onshore. Understanding these changes is crucial
not only for protecting vulnerable coasts but also for supporting sectors such as offshore
renewable energy and coastal planning. To investigate the evolving wave climate and
its coastal impacts, a multi-scale approach is applied. The study integrates large-scale
atmospheric processes with regional wave simulations and coastal-scale impact assessments.
Statistical and numerical methods are combined to link oceanic variability in
the North Atlantic to coastal responses around Ireland. A detailed analysis using lagged
cross-correlation to swell period data estimates swell travel times and identifies source
regions, forming the basis for selecting the North Atlantic domain for wave simulations.
A nested WAM-SWAN modelling system, driven by surrogate wind fields generated for
the winds from the MPI-ESM model together with sea ice and sea level inputs, captures
the spatial distribution and projected changes in wave heights. To translate these
offshore wave conditions into coastal impacts, a one-dimensional model is developed to
simulate wave run-up for a selected site in Galway Bay. The results reveal that the projected
changes in wind fields, storm activity, and sea level will continue shaping waves
near the Irish coast. The findings demonstrate that Ireland’s coastal hazards cannot
be assessed in isolation from the broader North Atlantic system or without considering
local influences, underscoring the need for multi-scale approaches for managing future
coastal risks around Ireland.
| Item Type: | Thesis (PhD) |
|---|---|
| Keywords: | wave projections; North Atlantic; Irish coast; |
| Academic Unit: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Geography Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Institutes > Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units, ICARUS |
| Item ID: | 21763 |
| Depositing User: | IR eTheses |
| Date Deposited: | 09 Jul 2026 14:28 |
| Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
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