Connor, Gregory and Suurlaht, Anita (2012) Dynamic Stock Market Covariances in the Eurozone. NUI Maynooth. (Unpublished)
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Abstract
This paper examines the short-term dynamics, macroeconomic
sensitivities, and longer-term trends in the variances and covariances
of national equity market index daily returns for eleven countries in
the Euro currency zone. We modify Colacito, Engle and Ghysel�s
Mixed Data Sampling Dynamic Conditional Correlation Garch model
to include a new scalar measure for the degree of correlatedness in
time-varying correlation matrices. We also explore the robustness of
the �ndings with a less model-dependent realized covariance estima-
tor. We �nd a secular trend toward higher correlation during our
sample period, and signi�cant linkages between macroeconomic and
market-wide variables and dynamic correlation. One notable �nding
is that average correlation between these markets is lower when their
average GDP growth rate is lower or when more of them have negative
GDP growth.
| Item Type: | Other |
|---|---|
| Keywords: | dynamic conditional correlation; multivariate GARCH; international stock market integration; European Monetary Union; |
| Academic Unit: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics, Finance and Accounting |
| Item ID: | 3748 |
| Identification Number: | N222-12 |
| Depositing User: | Ms Sandra Doherty |
| Date Deposited: | 12 Jun 2012 14:55 |
| Publisher: | NUI Maynooth |
| Funders: | SFI |
| Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
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