Connor, Gregory and Suurlaht, Anita (2012) Dynamic Stock Market Covariances in the Eurozone. NUI Maynooth. (Unpublished)
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Abstract
This paper examines the short-term dynamics, macroeconomic
sensitivities, and longer-term trends in the variances and covariances
of national equity market index daily returns for eleven countries in
the Euro currency zone. We modify Colacito, Engle and Ghysels
Mixed Data Sampling Dynamic Conditional Correlation Garch model
to include a new scalar measure for the degree of correlatedness in
time-varying correlation matrices. We also explore the robustness of
the
ndings with a less model-dependent realized covariance estima-
tor. We
nd a secular trend toward higher correlation during our
sample period, and signi
cant linkages between macroeconomic and
market-wide variables and dynamic correlation. One notable
nding
is that average correlation between these markets is lower when their
average GDP growth rate is lower or when more of them have negative
GDP growth.
Item Type: | Other |
---|---|
Keywords: | dynamic conditional correlation; multivariate GARCH; international stock market integration; European Monetary Union; |
Academic Unit: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics, Finance and Accounting |
Item ID: | 3748 |
Identification Number: | N222-12 |
Depositing User: | Ms Sandra Doherty |
Date Deposited: | 12 Jun 2012 14:55 |
Publisher: | NUI Maynooth |
Funders: | SFI |
URI: | https://mural.maynoothuniversity.ie/id/eprint/3748 |
Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
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