Cole, Matthew T., Pastine, Ivan and Pastine, Tuvana (2013) Incumbency Advantage in an Electoral Contest : Florida International University Working Paper Series, 1304. Working Paper. Florida International University.
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Abstract
In a campaign spending contest model, this paper investigates whether the sources
of incumbency advantage are able to generate the observed pattern of campaign spending
and incumbent reelection rates in US elections and assesses the degree to which
campaign finance reform can mitigate the negative repercussions of incumbency advantage.
The paper extends the existing literature by allowing the electoral benefit to
the candidate’s visibility to be stochastic which is intuitively appealing since one dollar
of extra spending should not take a candidate from a certain loser to a certain winner.
Officeholders’ ability to generate free media exposure alone is shown to be unable to
match empirical regularities. Incumbent’s superior fundraising efficiency is the key to
matching the observed patterns. In contrast to previous literature, the model predicts
that campaign finance legislation can help reduce the challenger scare-off effect
of incumbency advantage.
Item Type: | Monograph (Working Paper) |
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Keywords: | Incumbency Advantage; Electoral Contest; campaign spending; reelection rates; US elections; |
Academic Unit: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics, Finance and Accounting |
Item ID: | 5040 |
Depositing User: | Tuvana Pastine |
Date Deposited: | 23 Jun 2014 15:51 |
Publisher: | Florida International University |
URI: | https://mural.maynoothuniversity.ie/id/eprint/5040 |
Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
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