Bastola, Satish, Murphy, Conor and Sweeney, John (2012) The Role of Hydrological Modelling Uncertainties in Climate Change Impact Assessments of Irish River Catchments. In: Anniversary Essays: Fifty Years of Geography in Maynooth. National University of Ireland Maynooth, pp. 289-319. ISBN 9780992746605
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Abstract
Conceptual Rainfall Runoff (CRR) models forced with regional climate
change scenarios downscaled from Global Climate Models (GCMs) are
widely employed to assess the impacts of climate change at the catchment
scale. This approach is subject to a range of uncertainties associated with
future emissions of greenhouse gases, the response of the climate system
to these changes at global and local scales, and uncertainties associated
with the impact models. These uncertainties then cascade through the
climate change impact assessment methodology with potentially large
uncertainties associated with critical future impacts at the local scale
where key decisions are required in order to increase the resilience of
water supply management and infrastructure to future changes. Given
that uncertainty in modelling will not be significantly reduced in the short
or medium term future, ensuring that potentially expensive and
irreversible adaptation decisions made now are robust to the uncertainty
in future climate change impacts means that considerable effort is
required in investigating and quantifying sources of uncertainty.
Item Type: | Book Section |
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Additional Information: | First published in Advances in Water Resources (2011), 34(5), 562–576 |
Keywords: | Hydrological Modelling Uncertainties; Climate Change; Impact Assessments; Irish River Catchments; Anniversary Essays; Geography; Maynooth; |
Academic Unit: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Geography Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Institutes > Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units, ICARUS |
Item ID: | 5599 |
Depositing User: | Conor Murphy |
Date Deposited: | 05 Dec 2014 15:23 |
Publisher: | National University of Ireland Maynooth |
Refereed: | Yes |
Related URLs: | |
URI: | https://mural.maynoothuniversity.ie/id/eprint/5599 |
Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
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