Article

Upton, Maeve, Parnell, Andrew, Kemp, Andrew, Ashe, Erica, McCarthy, Gerard and Cahill, Niamh (2024) A noisy-input generalized additive model for relative sea-level change along the Atlantic coast of North America. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics. ISSN 0035-9254

Comiskey, Hannah, Alkema, Leontine and Cahill, Niamh (2024) Estimating the proportion of modern contraceptives supplied by the public and private sectors using a Bayesian hierarchical penalized spline model. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society. ISSN 0964-1998

Roseby, Zoë A., Southall, Katherine, Alvarez-Agoues, Fermin, Cahill, Niamh, McCarthy, Gerard D. and Edwards, Robin J. (2023) Two Centuries of Relative Sea-Level Rise in Dublin, Ireland, Reconstructed by Geological Tide Gauge. Open Quaternary, 9. p. 3. ISSN 2055-298X

Walker, Jennifer S, Li, Tanghua, Shaw, Timothy A, Cahill, Niamh, Barber, Donald C, Brain, Matthew J, Kopp, Robert E, Switzer, Adam D and Horton, Benjamin P (2023) A 5000-year record of relative sea-level change in New Jersey, USA. The Holocene, 33 (2). pp. 167-180. ISSN 0959-6836

Cahill, Niamh, Croke, Jacky, Campbell, Micheline, Hughes, Kate, Vitkovsky, John, Kilgallen, Jack Eaton and Parnell, Andrew (2023) A Bayesian time series model for reconstructing hydroclimate from multiple proxies. Environmetrics, 34 (4). ISSN 1180-4009

Padgett, Jason S., Engelhart, Simon E., Kelsey, Harvey M., Witter, Robert C. and Cahill, Niamh (2022) Reproducibility and variability of earthquake subsidence estimates from saltmarshes of a Cascadia estuary. Journal of Quaternary Science, 37 (7). pp. 1294-1312. ISSN 0267-8179

Padgett, Jason S., Engelhart, Simon E., Kelsey, Harvey M., Witter, Robert C. and Cahill, Niamh (2022) Reproducibility and variability of earthquake subsidence estimates from saltmarshes of a Cascadia estuary. Journal of Quaternary Science, 37 (7). pp. 1294-1312. ISSN 0267-8179

Walker, Jennifer S., Kopp, Robert E., Shaw, Timothy A., Cahill, Niamh, Khan, Nicole S., Barber, Donald C., Ashe, Erica L., Brain, Matthew J., Clear, Jennifer L., Corbett, D. Reide and Horton, Benjamin P. (2021) Common Era sea-level budgets along the U.S. Atlantic coast. Nature Communications, 12 (1). ISSN 2041-1723

Caesar, Levke, McCarthy, Gerard, Thornalley, D.J.R., Cahill, Niamh and Rahmstorf, Stefan (2021) Current Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation weakest in last millennium. Nature Geoscience, 14. pp. 118-120. ISSN 1752-0894

Guranich, Gregory, Cahill, Niamh and Alkema, Leontine (2021) Fpemlocal: Estimating family planning indicators in R for a single population of interest. Gates Open Research, 5. p. 24. ISSN 2572-4754

Nelson, Alan R., Hawkes, Andrea D., Sawai, Yuki, Horton, Benjamin P., Witter, Rob C, Bradley, Lee-Ann and Cahill, Niamh (2021) Minimal stratigraphic evidence for coseismic coastal subsidence during 2000 yr of megathrust earthquakes at the central Cascadia subduction zone. Geosphere, 17 (1). pp. 171-200. ISSN 1553-040X

Padgett, Jason S., Engelhart, Simon E., Kelsey, Harvey M., Witter, Robert C., Cahill, Niamh and Hemphill-Haley, Eileen (2021) Timing and amount of southern Cascadia earthquake subsidence over the past 1700 years at northern Humboldt Bay, California, USA. GSA Bulletin, 133 (9-10). pp. 2137-2156. ISSN 0016-7606

Ortega, José Antonio, Cahill, Niamh, Sonneveldt, Emily, Emmart, Priya, Williamson, Jessica, Mbu, Robinson, Fodjo Yetgang, Airy Barrière, Dambula, Isaac, Azambuja, Gizela, Mahumane Govo, Alda Antonio, Joshi, Binod, Felix, Sayinzoga, Makashaka, Clarisse, Ndaruhutse, Victor, Serucaca, Joel, Madzima, Bernard, Muzavazi, Brighton and Alkema, Leontine (2021) Using family planning service statistics to inform model-based estimates of modern contraceptive prevalence. PLoS ONE, 16 (10). e0258304. ISSN 1932-6203

Croke, Jacky, Vítkovský, John, Hughes, Kate, Campbell, Micheline, Amirnezhad-Mozhdehi, Sahar, Parnell, Andrew, Cahill, Niamh and Dalla Pozza, Ramona (2021) A palaeoclimate proxy database for water security planning in Queensland Australia. Scientific Data, 8 (1). ISSN 2052-4463

Hernández, Armand, Sánchez-López, Guiomar, Pla-Rabes, Sergi, Comas-Bru, Laia, Parnell, Andrew, Cahill, Niamh, Geyer, Adelina, Trigo, Ricardo M and Giralt, Santiago (2020) A 2,000‑year Bayesian NAO reconstruction from the Iberian Peninsula. Scientific Reports, 10 (14961). ISSN 2045-2322

Kemp, Andrew C., Wright, Alexander J. and Cahill, Niamh (2020) Enough is Enough, or More is More? Testing the Influence of Foraminiferal Count Size on Reconstructions of Paleo-Marsh Elevation. Journal of Foraminiferal Research, 50 (3). pp. 266-278. ISSN 0096-1191

Horton, Benjamin P., Khan, Nicole, Cahill, Niamh, Lee, Janice S. H., Shaw, Timothy A., Garner, Andra J, Kemp, Andrew C., Engelhart, Simon E. and Rahmstorf, Stefan (2020) Estimating global mean sea-level rise and its uncertainties by 2100 and 2300 from an expert survey. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 3 (18). ISSN 2397-3722

Nelson, Alan R., Hawkes, Andrea D., Sawai, Yuki, Engelhart, Simon E., Witter, Rob, Grant-Walter, Wendy C., Bradley, Lee-Ann, Dura, Tina, Cahill, Niamh and Horton, Ben (2020) Identifying the Greatest Earthquakes of the Past 2000 Years at the Nehalem River Estuary, Northern Oregon Coast, USA. Open Quaternary, 6 (2). pp. 1-30. ISSN 2055-298X

Walker, Jennifer S., Cahill, Niamh, Khan, Nicole S., Shaw, Timothy A., Barber, Don, Miller, Kenneth G., Kopp, Robert E. and Horton, Benjamin P. (2020) Incorporating temporal and spatial variability of salt-marsh foraminifera into sea-level reconstructions. Marine Geology, 429 (106293). ISSN 0025-3227

Cahill, Niamh, Weinberger, Michelle and Alkema, Leontine (2020) What increase in modern contraceptive use is needed in FP2020 countries to reach 75% demand satisfied by 2030? An assessment using the Accelerated Transition Method and Family Planning Estimation Model. Gates Open Research, 4 (113). pp. 1-13. ISSN 2572-4754

Dean, S., Horton, Benjamin P., Evelpidou, Niki, Cahill, Niamh, Spada, Giorgio and Sivan, Dorit (2019) Can we detect centennial sea-level variations over the last three thousand years in Israeli archaeological records? Quaternary Science Reviews, 210. pp. 125-135. ISSN 0277-3791

Eagle Gonneea, Meagan, Maio, Christopher, Kroeger, Kevin D, Hawkes, Andrea D., Mora, Jordan, Sullivan, Richard, Madsen, Stephanie, Buzard, Richard M, Cahill, Niamh and Donnelly, Jeffrey P. (2019) Salt marsh ecosystem restructuring enhances elevation resilience and carbon storage during accelerating relative sea-level rise. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 217. pp. 56-68. ISSN 0272-7714

Ashe, Erica L., Cahill, Niamh, Hay, Carling, Khan, Nicole, Kemp, Andrew, Engelhart, Simon E., Horton, Benjamin P., Parnell, Andrew and Kopp, Robert E. (2019) Statistical modeling of rates and trends in Holocene relative sea level. Quaternary Science Reviews, 204. pp. 58-77. ISSN 0277-3791

Jones, R.S., Small, D., Cahill, Niamh, Bentley, M.J. and Whitehouse, P.L. (2019) iceTEA: Tools for plotting and analysing cosmogenic-nuclide surface-exposure data from former ice margins. Quaternary Geochronology, 51. pp. 72-86. ISSN 1871-1014

Wolbach, Wendy S., Ballard, Joanne P., Mayewski, Paul A., Parnell, Andrew, Cahill, Niamh, Adedeji, Victor, Bunch, Ted. E., Domínguez-Vázquez, Gabriela, Erlandson, Jon M., Firestone, Richard B., French, Timothy A., Howard, George, Israde-Alcántara, Isabel, Johnson, John R., Kimbel, David, Kinzie, Charles R., Kurbatov, Andrei, Kletetschka, Gunther, LeCompte, Malcolm A., Mahaney, William C., Melott, Adrian L., Mitra, Siddhartha, Maiorana-Boutilier, Abigail, Moore, Christopher R., Napier, William M., Parlier, Jennifer, Tankersley, Kenneth B., Thomas, Brian C., Wittke, James H., West, Allen and Kennett, James P. (2018) Extraordinary Biomass-Burning Episode and Impact Winter Triggered by the Younger Dryas Cosmic Impact ∼12,800 Years Ago. 2. Lake, Marine, and Terrestrial Sediments. The Journal of Geology, 126 (2). pp. 185-205. ISSN 0022-1376

Cahill, Niamh, Sonneveldt, Emily, Stover, John, Weinberger, Michelle, Williamson, Jessica, Wei, Chuchu, Brown, Win and Alkema, Leontine (2018) Modern contraceptive use, unmet need, and demand satisfied among women of reproductive age who are married or in a union in the focus countries of the Family Planning 2020 initiative: a systematic analysis using the Family Planning Estimation Tool. The Lancet, 391. pp. 870-882. ISSN 0140-6736

Cahill, Niamh (2018) No “slowdown” in the story of global warming. Significance, 15. pp. 24-27. ISSN 1740-9705

Horton, Benjamin P., Shennan, Ian, Bradley, Sarah L., Cahill, Niamh, Kirwan, Matthew, Kopp, Robert E. and Shaw, Timothy A. (2018) Predicting marsh vulnerability to sea-level rise using Holocene relative sea-level data. Nature Communications, 9 (2687). ISSN 2041-1723

Kemp, Andrew C., Wright, Alexander J., Edwards, Robin J., Barnett, Robert, Brain, Matthew J., Kopp, Robert E., Cahill, Niamh, Horton, Benjamin P., Charman, Daniel J., Hawkes, Andrea D., Hill, Troy D. and van de Plaasche, Orson (2018) Relative sea-level change in Newfoundland, Canada during the past 3000 years. Quaternary Science Reviews, 201. pp. 89-110. ISSN 0277-3791

Kemp, Andrew C., Cahill, Niamh, Engelhart, Simon E., Hawkes, Andrea D. and Wang, Kelin (2018) Revising Estimates of Spatially Variable Subsidence during the A.D. 1700 Cascadia Earthquake Using a Bayesian Foraminiferal Transfer Function. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 108 (2). pp. 654-673. ISSN 0037-1106

Shaw, Timothy A., Plater, Andrew J, Kirby, Jason R, Roy, Keven, Holgate, Simon, Tutman, Pero, Cahill, Niamh and Horton, Benjamin P. (2018) Tectonic influences on late Holocene relative sea levels from the central-eastern Adriatic coast of Croatia. Quaternary Science Reviews, 200. pp. 262-275. ISSN 0277-3791

Brain, Matthew J., Kemp, Andrew C., Hawkes, Andrea D., Englehart, Simon E., Vane, Christopher H., Cahill, Niamh, Hill, Troy D., Donnelly, Jeffrey P. and Horton, Benjamin P. (2017) Exploring mechanisms of compaction in salt-marsh sediments using Common Era relative sea-level reconstructions. Quaternary Science Reviews, 167. pp. 96-111. ISSN 0277-3791

Kemp, Andrew C., Kegel, Jessica J., Culver, Stephen J., Barber, Donald C., Mallinson, David J., Leorri, Eduardo, Bernhardt, Christopher E., Cahill, Niamh, Riggs, Stanley R., Woodson, Anna L., Mulligan, Ryan P. and Horton, Benjamin P. (2017) Extended late Holocene relative sea-level histories for North Carolina, USA. Quaternary Science Reviews, 160. pp. 13-30. ISSN 0277-3791

Rahmstorf, Stefan, Foster, Grant and Cahill, Niamh (2017) Global temperature evolution: recent trends and some pitfalls. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (054001). ISSN 1748-9326

New, Jin Rou, Cahill, Niamh, Stover, John, Gupta, Yogender Pal and Alkema, Leontine (2017) Levels and trends in contraceptive prevalence, unmet need, and demand for family planning for 29 states and union territories in India: a modelling study using the Family Planning Estimation Tool. Lancet, 5 (3). e350-e358. ISSN 1474-547X

Gerlach, Matthew J., Englehart, Simon E., Kemp, Andrew C., Moyer, Ryan P., Smoak, Joseph M., Bernhardt, Christopher E. and Cahill, Niamh (2017) Reconstructing Common Era relative sea-level change on the Gulf Coast of Florida. Marine Geology, 390. pp. 254-269. ISSN 0025-3227

Kemp, Andrew C., Hill, Troy D., Vane, Christopher H., Cahill, Niamh, Orton, Philip M., Talke, Stefan A., Parnell, Andrew, Sanborn, Kelsey and Hartig, Ellen K. (2017) Relative sea-level trends in New York City during the past 1500 years. Holocene, 27 (8). pp. 1169-1186. ISSN 0959-6836

Cahill, Niamh, Kemp, Andrew C., Horton, Benjamin P. and Parnell, Andrew (2016) A Bayesian hierarchical model for reconstructing relative sea level: from raw data to rates of change. Climate of the Past, 12 (2). pp. 525-542. ISSN 1814-9332

Hawkes, Andrea D., Kemp, Andrew C., Donnelly, Jeffrey P., Horton, Benjamin P., Peltier, W Richard, Cahill, Niamh, Hill, David F, Ashe, Erica L. and Alexander, Clark R (2016) Relative sea-level change in northeastern Florida (USA) during the last ~8.0 ka. Quaternary Science Reviews, 142. pp. 90-101. ISSN 0277-3791

Kelsey, Harvey M, Engelhart, Simon E., Pilarczyk, Jessica E., Horton, Benjamin P., Rubin, Charles M., Daryono, Mudrik R, Ismail, Nazli, Hawkes, Andrea D., Bernhardt, Christopher E. and Cahill, Niamh (2015) Accommodation space, relative sea level, and the archiving of paleo-earthquakes along subduction zones. Journal of Geology, 43 (8). pp. 675-678. ISSN 1537-5269

Cahill, Niamh, Rahmstorf, Stefan and Parnell, Andrew (2015) Change points of global temperature. Environmental Research Letters, 10. ISSN 1748-9326

Cahill, Niamh, Kemp, Andrew C., Horton, Benjamin P. and Parnell, Andrew (2015) Modeling sea-level change using errors-in-variables integrated gaussian processes. Annals of Applied Statistics, 9 (2). pp. 547-571. ISSN 1932-6157

Brain, Matthew J, Kemp, Andrew C., Horton, Benjamin P., Culver, Stephen J., Parnell, Andrew and Cahill, Niamh (2015) Quantifying the contribution of sediment compaction to late Holocene salt-marsh sea-level reconstructions, North Carolina, USA. Quaternary Research, 83 (1). pp. 41-51. ISSN 0033-5894

Kemp, Andrew C., Hawkes, Andrea D., Donnelly, Jeffrey P., Vane, Christopher H., Horton, Benjamin P., Hill, Troy D., Anisfeld, Shimon C., Parnell, Andrew and Cahill, Niamh (2015) Relative sea-level change in Connecticut (USA) during the last 2200 yrs. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 428. pp. 217-229. ISSN 0012-821X

Long, A. J., Barlow, N. L. M., Gehrels, W. R,, Saher, M. H., Woodworth, P. L., Scaife, R. G., Brain, M. J. and Cahill, Niamh (2014) Contrasting records of sea-level change in the eastern and western North Atlantic during the last 300 years. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 388. pp. 110-122. ISSN 0012-821X

Kemp, Andrew C., Bernhardt, Christopher E., Horton, Benjamin P., Kopp, Robert E., Vane, Christopher H., Peltier, W. Richard, Hawkes, Andrea D., Donnelly, Jeffrey P., Parnell, Andrew and Cahill, Niamh (2014) Late Holocene sea- and land-level change on the U.S. southeastern Atlantic coast. Marine Geology, 357. pp. 90-100. ISSN 0025-3227

Kemp, Andrew C., Horton, Benjamin P., Vane, Christopher H., Bernhardt, Christopher E., Corbett, D. Reide, Engelhart, Simon E., Anisfeld, Shimon C, Parnell, Andrew and Cahill, Niamh (2013) Sea-level change during the last 2500 years in New Jersey, USA. Quaternary Science Reviews, 81. pp. 90-104. ISSN 0277-3791

Monograph

Clarke, B, Thorne, Peter, Ryan, Ciara, Zachariah, Mariam, Murphy, Conor, McCarthy, Gerard, O'Connor, Paul, Eresanya, Emmanuel. O, Cahill, Niamh and Coonan, Barry (2024) Climate change made the extreme 2-day rainfall event associated with flooding in Midleton, Ireland more likely and more intense. Technical Report. Imperial College London, London.