Article

Upton, Maeve and Parnell, Andrew and Kemp, Andrew and Ashe, Erica and McCarthy, Gerard and Cahill, Niamh (2024) A noisy-input generalized additive model for relative sea-level change along the Atlantic coast of North America. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics. ISSN 0035-9254

Comiskey, Hannah and Alkema, Leontine and Cahill, Niamh (2024) Estimating the proportion of modern contraceptives supplied by the public and private sectors using a Bayesian hierarchical penalized spline model. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A: Statistics in Society. ISSN 0964-1998

Roseby, Zoë A. and Southall, Katherine and Alvarez-Agoues, Fermin and Cahill, Niamh and McCarthy, Gerard D. and Edwards, Robin J. (2023) Two Centuries of Relative Sea-Level Rise in Dublin, Ireland, Reconstructed by Geological Tide Gauge. Open Quaternary, 9. p. 3. ISSN 2055-298X

Walker, Jennifer S and Li, Tanghua and Shaw, Timothy A and Cahill, Niamh and Barber, Donald C and Brain, Matthew J and Kopp, Robert E and Switzer, Adam D and Horton, Benjamin P (2023) A 5000-year record of relative sea-level change in New Jersey, USA. The Holocene, 33 (2). pp. 167-180. ISSN 0959-6836

Cahill, Niamh and Croke, Jacky and Campbell, Micheline and Hughes, Kate and Vitkovsky, John and Kilgallen, Jack Eaton and Parnell, Andrew (2023) A Bayesian time series model for reconstructing hydroclimate from multiple proxies. Environmetrics, 34 (4). ISSN 1180-4009

Padgett, Jason S. and Engelhart, Simon E. and Kelsey, Harvey M. and Witter, Robert C. and Cahill, Niamh (2022) Reproducibility and variability of earthquake subsidence estimates from saltmarshes of a Cascadia estuary. Journal of Quaternary Science, 37 (7). pp. 1294-1312. ISSN 0267-8179

Padgett, Jason S. and Engelhart, Simon E. and Kelsey, Harvey M. and Witter, Robert C. and Cahill, Niamh (2022) Reproducibility and variability of earthquake subsidence estimates from saltmarshes of a Cascadia estuary. Journal of Quaternary Science, 37 (7). pp. 1294-1312. ISSN 0267-8179

Walker, Jennifer S. and Kopp, Robert E. and Shaw, Timothy A. and Cahill, Niamh and Khan, Nicole S. and Barber, Donald C. and Ashe, Erica L. and Brain, Matthew J. and Clear, Jennifer L. and Corbett, D. Reide and Horton, Benjamin P. (2021) Common Era sea-level budgets along the U.S. Atlantic coast. Nature Communications, 12 (1). ISSN 2041-1723

Caesar, Levke and McCarthy, Gerard and Thornalley, D.J.R. and Cahill, Niamh and Rahmstorf, Stefan (2021) Current Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation weakest in last millennium. Nature Geoscience, 14. pp. 118-120. ISSN 1752-0894

Guranich, Gregory and Cahill, Niamh and Alkema, Leontine (2021) Fpemlocal: Estimating family planning indicators in R for a single population of interest. Gates Open Research, 5. p. 24. ISSN 2572-4754

Nelson, Alan R. and Hawkes, Andrea D. and Sawai, Yuki and Horton, Benjamin P. and Witter, Rob C and Bradley, Lee-Ann and Cahill, Niamh (2021) Minimal stratigraphic evidence for coseismic coastal subsidence during 2000 yr of megathrust earthquakes at the central Cascadia subduction zone. Geosphere, 17 (1). pp. 171-200. ISSN 1553-040X

Padgett, Jason S. and Engelhart, Simon E. and Kelsey, Harvey M. and Witter, Robert C. and Cahill, Niamh and Hemphill-Haley, Eileen (2021) Timing and amount of southern Cascadia earthquake subsidence over the past 1700 years at northern Humboldt Bay, California, USA. GSA Bulletin, 133 (9-10). pp. 2137-2156. ISSN 0016-7606

Ortega, José Antonio and Cahill, Niamh and Sonneveldt, Emily and Emmart, Priya and Williamson, Jessica and Mbu, Robinson and Fodjo Yetgang, Airy Barrière and Dambula, Isaac and Azambuja, Gizela and Mahumane Govo, Alda Antonio and Joshi, Binod and Felix, Sayinzoga and Makashaka, Clarisse and Ndaruhutse, Victor and Serucaca, Joel and Madzima, Bernard and Muzavazi, Brighton and Alkema, Leontine (2021) Using family planning service statistics to inform model-based estimates of modern contraceptive prevalence. PLoS ONE, 16 (10). e0258304. ISSN 1932-6203

Croke, Jacky and Vítkovský, John and Hughes, Kate and Campbell, Micheline and Amirnezhad-Mozhdehi, Sahar and Parnell, Andrew and Cahill, Niamh and Dalla Pozza, Ramona (2021) A palaeoclimate proxy database for water security planning in Queensland Australia. Scientific Data, 8 (1). ISSN 2052-4463

Hernández, Armand and Sánchez-López, Guiomar and Pla-Rabes, Sergi and Comas-Bru, Laia and Parnell, Andrew and Cahill, Niamh and Geyer, Adelina and Trigo, Ricardo M and Giralt, Santiago (2020) A 2,000‑year Bayesian NAO reconstruction from the Iberian Peninsula. Scientific Reports, 10 (14961). ISSN 2045-2322

Kemp, Andrew C. and Wright, Alexander J. and Cahill, Niamh (2020) Enough is Enough, or More is More? Testing the Influence of Foraminiferal Count Size on Reconstructions of Paleo-Marsh Elevation. Journal of Foraminiferal Research, 50 (3). pp. 266-278. ISSN 0096-1191

Horton, Benjamin P. and Khan, Nicole and Cahill, Niamh and Lee, Janice S. H. and Shaw, Timothy A. and Garner, Andra J and Kemp, Andrew C. and Engelhart, Simon E. and Rahmstorf, Stefan (2020) Estimating global mean sea-level rise and its uncertainties by 2100 and 2300 from an expert survey. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 3 (18). ISSN 2397-3722

Nelson, Alan R. and Hawkes, Andrea D. and Sawai, Yuki and Engelhart, Simon E. and Witter, Rob and Grant-Walter, Wendy C. and Bradley, Lee-Ann and Dura, Tina and Cahill, Niamh and Horton, Ben (2020) Identifying the Greatest Earthquakes of the Past 2000 Years at the Nehalem River Estuary, Northern Oregon Coast, USA. Open Quaternary, 6 (2). pp. 1-30. ISSN 2055-298X

Walker, Jennifer S. and Cahill, Niamh and Khan, Nicole S. and Shaw, Timothy A. and Barber, Don and Miller, Kenneth G. and Kopp, Robert E. and Horton, Benjamin P. (2020) Incorporating temporal and spatial variability of salt-marsh foraminifera into sea-level reconstructions. Marine Geology, 429 (106293). ISSN 0025-3227

Cahill, Niamh and Weinberger, Michelle and Alkema, Leontine (2020) What increase in modern contraceptive use is needed in FP2020 countries to reach 75% demand satisfied by 2030? An assessment using the Accelerated Transition Method and Family Planning Estimation Model. Gates Open Research, 4 (113). pp. 1-13. ISSN 2572-4754

Dean, S. and Horton, Benjamin P. and Evelpidou, Niki and Cahill, Niamh and Spada, Giorgio and Sivan, Dorit (2019) Can we detect centennial sea-level variations over the last three thousand years in Israeli archaeological records? Quaternary Science Reviews, 210. pp. 125-135. ISSN 0277-3791

Eagle Gonneea, Meagan and Maio, Christopher and Kroeger, Kevin D and Hawkes, Andrea D. and Mora, Jordan and Sullivan, Richard and Madsen, Stephanie and Buzard, Richard M and Cahill, Niamh and Donnelly, Jeffrey P. (2019) Salt marsh ecosystem restructuring enhances elevation resilience and carbon storage during accelerating relative sea-level rise. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science, 217. pp. 56-68. ISSN 0272-7714

Ashe, Erica L. and Cahill, Niamh and Hay, Carling and Khan, Nicole and Kemp, Andrew and Engelhart, Simon E. and Horton, Benjamin P. and Parnell, Andrew and Kopp, Robert E. (2019) Statistical modeling of rates and trends in Holocene relative sea level. Quaternary Science Reviews, 204. pp. 58-77. ISSN 0277-3791

Jones, R.S. and Small, D. and Cahill, Niamh and Bentley, M.J. and Whitehouse, P.L. (2019) iceTEA: Tools for plotting and analysing cosmogenic-nuclide surface-exposure data from former ice margins. Quaternary Geochronology, 51. pp. 72-86. ISSN 1871-1014

Wolbach, Wendy S. and Ballard, Joanne P. and Mayewski, Paul A. and Parnell, Andrew and Cahill, Niamh and Adedeji, Victor and Bunch, Ted. E. and Domínguez-Vázquez, Gabriela and Erlandson, Jon M. and Firestone, Richard B. and French, Timothy A. and Howard, George and Israde-Alcántara, Isabel and Johnson, John R. and Kimbel, David and Kinzie, Charles R. and Kurbatov, Andrei and Kletetschka, Gunther and LeCompte, Malcolm A. and Mahaney, William C. and Melott, Adrian L. and Mitra, Siddhartha and Maiorana-Boutilier, Abigail and Moore, Christopher R. and Napier, William M. and Parlier, Jennifer and Tankersley, Kenneth B. and Thomas, Brian C. and Wittke, James H. and West, Allen and Kennett, James P. (2018) Extraordinary Biomass-Burning Episode and Impact Winter Triggered by the Younger Dryas Cosmic Impact ∼12,800 Years Ago. 2. Lake, Marine, and Terrestrial Sediments. The Journal of Geology, 126 (2). pp. 185-205. ISSN 0022-1376

Cahill, Niamh and Sonneveldt, Emily and Stover, John and Weinberger, Michelle and Williamson, Jessica and Wei, Chuchu and Brown, Win and Alkema, Leontine (2018) Modern contraceptive use, unmet need, and demand satisfied among women of reproductive age who are married or in a union in the focus countries of the Family Planning 2020 initiative: a systematic analysis using the Family Planning Estimation Tool. The Lancet, 391. pp. 870-882. ISSN 0140-6736

Cahill, Niamh (2018) No “slowdown” in the story of global warming. Significance, 15. pp. 24-27. ISSN 1740-9705

Horton, Benjamin P. and Shennan, Ian and Bradley, Sarah L. and Cahill, Niamh and Kirwan, Matthew and Kopp, Robert E. and Shaw, Timothy A. (2018) Predicting marsh vulnerability to sea-level rise using Holocene relative sea-level data. Nature Communications, 9 (2687). ISSN 2041-1723

Kemp, Andrew C. and Wright, Alexander J. and Edwards, Robin J. and Barnett, Robert and Brain, Matthew J. and Kopp, Robert E. and Cahill, Niamh and Horton, Benjamin P. and Charman, Daniel J. and Hawkes, Andrea D. and Hill, Troy D. and van de Plaasche, Orson (2018) Relative sea-level change in Newfoundland, Canada during the past 3000 years. Quaternary Science Reviews, 201. pp. 89-110. ISSN 0277-3791

Kemp, Andrew C. and Cahill, Niamh and Engelhart, Simon E. and Hawkes, Andrea D. and Wang, Kelin (2018) Revising Estimates of Spatially Variable Subsidence during the A.D. 1700 Cascadia Earthquake Using a Bayesian Foraminiferal Transfer Function. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, 108 (2). pp. 654-673. ISSN 0037-1106

Shaw, Timothy A. and Plater, Andrew J and Kirby, Jason R and Roy, Keven and Holgate, Simon and Tutman, Pero and Cahill, Niamh and Horton, Benjamin P. (2018) Tectonic influences on late Holocene relative sea levels from the central-eastern Adriatic coast of Croatia. Quaternary Science Reviews, 200. pp. 262-275. ISSN 0277-3791

Brain, Matthew J. and Kemp, Andrew C. and Hawkes, Andrea D. and Englehart, Simon E. and Vane, Christopher H. and Cahill, Niamh and Hill, Troy D. and Donnelly, Jeffrey P. and Horton, Benjamin P. (2017) Exploring mechanisms of compaction in salt-marsh sediments using Common Era relative sea-level reconstructions. Quaternary Science Reviews, 167. pp. 96-111. ISSN 0277-3791

Kemp, Andrew C. and Kegel, Jessica J. and Culver, Stephen J. and Barber, Donald C. and Mallinson, David J. and Leorri, Eduardo and Bernhardt, Christopher E. and Cahill, Niamh and Riggs, Stanley R. and Woodson, Anna L. and Mulligan, Ryan P. and Horton, Benjamin P. (2017) Extended late Holocene relative sea-level histories for North Carolina, USA. Quaternary Science Reviews, 160. pp. 13-30. ISSN 0277-3791

Rahmstorf, Stefan and Foster, Grant and Cahill, Niamh (2017) Global temperature evolution: recent trends and some pitfalls. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (054001). ISSN 1748-9326

New, Jin Rou and Cahill, Niamh and Stover, John and Gupta, Yogender Pal and Alkema, Leontine (2017) Levels and trends in contraceptive prevalence, unmet need, and demand for family planning for 29 states and union territories in India: a modelling study using the Family Planning Estimation Tool. Lancet, 5 (3). e350-e358. ISSN 1474-547X

Gerlach, Matthew J. and Englehart, Simon E. and Kemp, Andrew C. and Moyer, Ryan P. and Smoak, Joseph M. and Bernhardt, Christopher E. and Cahill, Niamh (2017) Reconstructing Common Era relative sea-level change on the Gulf Coast of Florida. Marine Geology, 390. pp. 254-269. ISSN 0025-3227

Kemp, Andrew C. and Hill, Troy D. and Vane, Christopher H. and Cahill, Niamh and Orton, Philip M. and Talke, Stefan A. and Parnell, Andrew and Sanborn, Kelsey and Hartig, Ellen K. (2017) Relative sea-level trends in New York City during the past 1500 years. Holocene, 27 (8). pp. 1169-1186. ISSN 0959-6836

Cahill, Niamh and Kemp, Andrew C. and Horton, Benjamin P. and Parnell, Andrew (2016) A Bayesian hierarchical model for reconstructing relative sea level: from raw data to rates of change. Climate of the Past, 12 (2). pp. 525-542. ISSN 1814-9332

Hawkes, Andrea D. and Kemp, Andrew C. and Donnelly, Jeffrey P. and Horton, Benjamin P. and Peltier, W Richard and Cahill, Niamh and Hill, David F and Ashe, Erica L. and Alexander, Clark R (2016) Relative sea-level change in northeastern Florida (USA) during the last ~8.0 ka. Quaternary Science Reviews, 142. pp. 90-101. ISSN 0277-3791

Kelsey, Harvey M and Engelhart, Simon E. and Pilarczyk, Jessica E. and Horton, Benjamin P. and Rubin, Charles M. and Daryono, Mudrik R and Ismail, Nazli and Hawkes, Andrea D. and Bernhardt, Christopher E. and Cahill, Niamh (2015) Accommodation space, relative sea level, and the archiving of paleo-earthquakes along subduction zones. Journal of Geology, 43 (8). pp. 675-678. ISSN 1537-5269

Cahill, Niamh and Rahmstorf, Stefan and Parnell, Andrew (2015) Change points of global temperature. Environmental Research Letters, 10. ISSN 1748-9326

Cahill, Niamh and Kemp, Andrew C. and Horton, Benjamin P. and Parnell, Andrew (2015) Modeling sea-level change using errors-in-variables integrated gaussian processes. Annals of Applied Statistics, 9 (2). pp. 547-571. ISSN 1932-6157

Brain, Matthew J and Kemp, Andrew C. and Horton, Benjamin P. and Culver, Stephen J. and Parnell, Andrew and Cahill, Niamh (2015) Quantifying the contribution of sediment compaction to late Holocene salt-marsh sea-level reconstructions, North Carolina, USA. Quaternary Research, 83 (1). pp. 41-51. ISSN 0033-5894

Kemp, Andrew C. and Hawkes, Andrea D. and Donnelly, Jeffrey P. and Vane, Christopher H. and Horton, Benjamin P. and Hill, Troy D. and Anisfeld, Shimon C. and Parnell, Andrew and Cahill, Niamh (2015) Relative sea-level change in Connecticut (USA) during the last 2200 yrs. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 428. pp. 217-229. ISSN 0012-821X

Long, A. J. and Barlow, N. L. M. and Gehrels, W. R, and Saher, M. H. and Woodworth, P. L. and Scaife, R. G. and Brain, M. J. and Cahill, Niamh (2014) Contrasting records of sea-level change in the eastern and western North Atlantic during the last 300 years. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 388. pp. 110-122. ISSN 0012-821X

Kemp, Andrew C. and Bernhardt, Christopher E. and Horton, Benjamin P. and Kopp, Robert E. and Vane, Christopher H. and Peltier, W. Richard and Hawkes, Andrea D. and Donnelly, Jeffrey P. and Parnell, Andrew and Cahill, Niamh (2014) Late Holocene sea- and land-level change on the U.S. southeastern Atlantic coast. Marine Geology, 357. pp. 90-100. ISSN 0025-3227

Kemp, Andrew C. and Horton, Benjamin P. and Vane, Christopher H. and Bernhardt, Christopher E. and Corbett, D. Reide and Engelhart, Simon E. and Anisfeld, Shimon C and Parnell, Andrew and Cahill, Niamh (2013) Sea-level change during the last 2500 years in New Jersey, USA. Quaternary Science Reviews, 81. pp. 90-104. ISSN 0277-3791

Monograph

Clarke, B and Thorne, Peter and Ryan, Ciara and Zachariah, Mariam and Murphy, Conor and McCarthy, Gerard and O'Connor, Paul and Eresanya, Emmanuel. O and Cahill, Niamh and Coonan, Barry (2024) Climate change made the extreme 2-day rainfall event associated with flooding in Midleton, Ireland more likely and more intense. Technical Report. Imperial College London, London.