Osman, Mugtaba and Parnell, Andrew and McCauley, MacDara (2018) Effect of the Irish Civil War 1922-1923 on suicide rates in Ireland: a retrospective investigation of the archives of the registrar general for Saorstát Éireann. Epidemiology Biostatistics and Public Health, 15 (3). e12920. ISSN 2282-0930

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Abstract

Introduction: Emile Durkheim differentiated between two types of wars: National and Civil Wars in terms of effect on suicide mortality. This study investigates Durkheim’s assertion by examining the effect of Irish Civil War on the 1882-1928 suicide rates trend. Method: The study is based on vital statistics data sourced from Central Statistics Office of Ireland. We used AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average with Explanatory variables (ARIMAX) design adopting Bayesian approach. Results: The Standardized Mortality Rate SMR for death by suicide for the total Irish population during the civil war period were reduced by 0.041417 (95% Credible Interval CI: -0.2421749 to 0.15934012). The SMR for death by suicide for the total Irish population during the First World War period were reduced by 0.206202 (95% CI: -0.3776463 to -0.03475746). Conclusion: Evidence from this study support a significant drop in terms of the intensity of suicidal behaviour in the Irish population during World War I more so than during the Irish Civil War.

Item Type:	Article
Additional Information:	This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives 4.0 International License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/
Keywords:	suicide; Ireland; Irish Civil war; World War 1; Durkheim’s theory;
Academic Unit:	Faculty of Science and Engineering > Research Institutes > Hamilton Institute Faculty of Science and Engineering > Mathematics and Statistics
Item ID:	13272
Identification Number:	https://doi.org/10.2427/12920
Depositing User:	Andrew Parnell
Date Deposited:	24 Sep 2020 13:54
Journal or Publication Title:	Epidemiology Biostatistics and Public Health
Refereed:	Yes
URI:	Publisher
Use Licence:	This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here

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