Versiani, Alice F. and Sousa, Rosa Gouvea and Monteforte, Prisicla T. and Marciano, Jim J. S. and Nepomuceno, Erivelton Geraldo and Nazare, Thalita E. and Lacerda, Marcio J. and Barroso, Marcio F. S. and Abdalla-Junior, Marcos A. and Alvarenga, Erika L. F. C. and Silva C., Nayara and Silva-Junior, Adelmo M. (2021) A required isolation index to support the health system during the pandemic of Covid-19 in Minas Gerais, Brazil. IEEE Latin America Transactions, 19 (6). pp. 961-969. ISSN 1548-0992

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Abstract

This paper addresses the effect of isolation on the spread of Covid-19 in the State of Minas Gerais, Brazil. The compartmental model SEIR (Susceptible, Exposed, Infectious, Recovered) has been employed. The parameters of the model have been estimated with the help of optimization techniques based on evolutionary strategies. From the model obtained, this work evaluates the impacts of reducing the isolation in the peak of infected people. Results show that the isolation has reduced the peak in 94%, which has played a crucial role in avoiding the health system collapse up to now. Moreover, around 70% of isolation guarantees a good quality of health system service to deal with the pandemic of Covid-19 according to the number of intensive care units and considering a reproductive number equals to 3.60. This is an important result to be considered during easing physical distancing measures.

Item Type:	Article
Additional Information:	Cite as: Versiani, A.F., Sousa, R.G., Monteforte, P.T., Marciano, J.J.S., Nepomuceno, E.G., Nazare, T.E., Lacerda, M.J., Barroso, M.F.S., Abdalla-Junior, M.A., Alvarenga, Erika L. F. C., Silva C., N. & Silva-Junior, A.M. 2021, "A required isolation index to support the health system during the pandemic of Covid-19 in Minas Gerais, Brazil", Revista IEEE América Latina, vol. 19, no. 6, pp. 961-969.
Keywords:	Covid-19; Coronavirus; Mathematical epidemiology; Compartmental mode
Academic Unit:	Faculty of Science and Engineering > Electronic Engineering Faculty of Science and Engineering > Research Institutes > Hamilton Institute
Item ID:	17594
Identification Number:	https://doi.org/10.1109/TLA.2021.9451241
Depositing User:	Erivelton Nepomuceno
Date Deposited:	21 Sep 2023 15:02
Journal or Publication Title:	IEEE Latin America Transactions
Publisher:	IEEE
Refereed:	Yes
URI:	Publisher
Use Licence:	This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here

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