Shoari Nejad, Amin, Parnell, Andrew, Greene, Alice, Thorne, Peter, Kelleher, Brian P., Devoy, Robert J. N. and McCarthy, Gerard (2022) A newly reconciled dataset for identifying sea level rise and variability in Dublin Bay. Ocean Science, 18 (2). pp. 511-522. ISSN 1812-0792
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Abstract
We provide an updated sea level dataset for Dublin
for the period 1938–2016 at yearly resolution. Using a newly
collated sea level record for Dublin Port, as well as two
nearby tide gauges at Arklow and Howth Harbour, we perform data quality checks and calibration of the Dublin Port
record by adjusting the biased high water level measurements
that affect the overall calculation of mean sea level (MSL).
To correct these MSL values, we use a novel Bayesian linear regression that includes the mean low water values as
a predictor in the model. We validate the re-created MSL
dataset and show its consistency with other nearby tide gauge datasets. Using our new corrected dataset, we estimate a rate of sea level rise of 1.1 mm yr−1 during 1953–2016 (95 % credible interval from 0.6 to 1.6 mm yr−1
), and a rate of 7 mm yr−1 during 1997–2016 (95 % credible interval from 5 to 8.8 mm yr−1). The overall sea level rise is in line with expected trends, but large multidecadal variability has led to higher rates of rise in recent years.
Item Type: | Article |
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Additional Information: | Cite as: Shoari Nejad, A., Parnell, A. C., Greene, A., Thorne, P., Kelleher, B. P., Devoy, R. J. N., and McCarthy, G.: A newly reconciled dataset for identifying sea level rise and variability in Dublin Bay, Ocean Sci., 18, 511–522, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-18-511-2022, 2022. |
Keywords: | Sea level rise; Dublin port; |
Academic Unit: | Faculty of Science and Engineering > Research Institutes > Hamilton Institute Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Institutes > Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units, ICARUS |
Item ID: | 17735 |
Identification Number: | 10.5194/os-18-511-2022 |
Depositing User: | Andrew Parnell |
Date Deposited: | 26 Oct 2023 08:40 |
Journal or Publication Title: | Ocean Science |
Publisher: | Copernicus Publications |
Refereed: | Yes |
Funders: | This research has been supported by the Science Foundation Ireland (grant no. 16/IA/4520) |
Related URLs: | |
URI: | https://mural.maynoothuniversity.ie/id/eprint/17735 |
Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
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