Comiskey, Hannah (2023) Estimating modern contraceptive supply shares at national and subnational administration levels using Demographic and Health Survey data, with an application to the calculation of estimated modern contraceptive use. PhD thesis, National University of Ireland Maynooth.

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Abstract

Quantifying the public/private-sector supply of contraceptive methods within countries is vital for effective and sustainable family-planning delivery. However, many low- and middle-income countries quantify contraceptive supply using out-of-date Demographic Health Surveys. As an alternative, we propose using a Bayesian, hierarchical, penalizedspline model, with survey input, to produce annual estimates and projections of contraceptive supply-share outcomes. Our approach shares information across countries, accounts for survey observational errors and produces probabilistic projections informed by past changes in supply shares, as well as correlations between supply-share changes across different contraceptive methods. Results may be used to evaluate family-planning program effectiveness and stability.

Item Type:	Thesis (PhD)
Keywords:	Bayesian; correlation; family planning; hierarchical; splines; time-series;
Academic Unit:	Faculty of Science and Engineering > Research Institutes > Hamilton Institute
Item ID:	18132
Depositing User:	IR eTheses
Date Deposited:	13 Feb 2024 11:28
URI:
Use Licence:	This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here

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