Mérigaud, Alexis and Ringwood, John (2019) Incorporating Ocean Wave Spectrum Information in Short-Term Free-Surface Elevation Forecasting. IEEE Journal of Oceanic Engineering, 44 (2). pp. 401-414. ISSN 0364-9059
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Abstract
Real-time prediction of free-surface elevation or wave
excitation force is necessary for a variety of applications, including
noncausal optimal control of wave energy converters and detection
of quiescent periods for offshore operations. Prediction methods
can use past measurements at the point of interest, treating the
wave elevation as a time series (looking backward). Alternatively,
wave elevation values can be recorded at a set of locations about the
point of interest and propagated in time and space through physical
or statistical models (looking forward). In this paper, assuming
Gaussian waves, a unified framework is proposed, which treats any
combination of wave elevation values at various points in time and
space as a Gaussian vector and covers both “backward” and “forward”
approaches. It is shown that, using any given combination
of measurement points in time and space, the optimal predictor,
in a least mean square sense, is linear for any time horizon and
can be directly derived from the wave spectrum, provided that the
latter is known. The associated error can be readily calculated,
thus providing, based on the wave spectrum, an upper bound on
the predictability of the wave elevation process. In addition, the
applicability of the spectrum-based predictor to real-time wave
elevation forecasting is discussed.
Item Type: | Article |
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Additional Information: | This is the postprint version of the published article, which is available at https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/8353368. Content is final as presented, with the exception of pagination. |
Keywords: | Deterministic sea wave prediction; Gaussian process; linear waves; real-time wave prediction; wave spectrum; |
Academic Unit: | Faculty of Science and Engineering > Electronic Engineering Faculty of Science and Engineering > Research Institutes > Centre for Ocean Energy Research |
Item ID: | 12440 |
Identification Number: | 10.1109/JOE.2018.2822498 |
Depositing User: | Professor John Ringwood |
Date Deposited: | 11 Feb 2020 15:30 |
Journal or Publication Title: | IEEE Journal of Oceanic Engineering |
Publisher: | IEEE |
Refereed: | Yes |
Funders: | Science Foundation Ireland (SFI), Marine Renewable Ireland Centre |
Related URLs: | |
URI: | https://mural.maynoothuniversity.ie/id/eprint/12440 |
Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
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