Farizo, Begoña A., Sevilla-Callejo, Miguel, Soliño, Mario, Vicente-Serrano, Sergio M., López-Moreno, Juan I., Lázaro-Alquézar, Angelina, Murphy, Conor, Grainger, Sam, Conradt, Tobias, Jin, Hongxiao and Boincean, Boris (2024) Valuing drought impact mitigation on ecosystem services in a Mediterranean country. Journal of Arid Environments, 225. p. 105277. ISSN 01401963
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Abstract
Drought is a complex natural hazard increasing in frequency, duration, and severity worldwide. Although
droughts cause both market and non-market impacts, the latter suffers from a dearth of economic studies
quantifying their magnitude. In this paper, we investigated how droughts affect selected ecosystem services
expected to result in welfare losses in Spain. This study is aimed at quantifying and simulating societal losses
given the expected potential increase in drought severity in the coming decades. We estimated a Discrete Choice
Latent Class Model by which we distinguished three broad classes of individuals. The common behavior across all
classes is that people consistently choose to avoid the negative effects of droughts. However, there are substantial
differences among the three classes; while class 1 chooses options regardless of cost, even when selecting the
most expensive ones, the other two classes account for the size of the payment. Moreover, health and water use
restrictions have been decisive factors in individuals’ choices. We have also observed that the perception of
climate change is related to individual decisions. We quantified the enormous damage drought causes to societal
well-being. Policymakers should take this information into account when addressing the increasing likelihood of
extreme weather events.
Item Type: | Article |
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Keywords: | Choice experiment; Climate change perception; Drought impacts; Economic valuation; Latent class model; Strategic behavior; |
Academic Unit: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Geography Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Institutes > Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units, ICARUS |
Item ID: | 19497 |
Identification Number: | 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2024.105277 |
Depositing User: | Conor Murphy |
Date Deposited: | 17 Feb 2025 15:13 |
Journal or Publication Title: | Journal of Arid Environments |
Publisher: | Elsevier |
Refereed: | Yes |
Related URLs: | |
URI: | https://mural.maynoothuniversity.ie/id/eprint/19497 |
Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
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