Akinfenwa, Oluwayomi (2026) Visualisations of Country-Level Panel Data and Hierarchical Models. PhD thesis, National University of Ireland Maynooth.
Preview
Available under License Creative Commons Attribution Non-commercial Share Alike.
Download (1MB) | Preview
Abstract
This thesis develops diagnostic and visualisation methods to support the explo
ration, modelling, and evaluation of country-level panel data in global development
research. Chapter 3 introduces wdiexplorer, an R package that provides an end
to-end workflow for sourcing World Development Indicators data, computing group
aware diagnostic indices, and visualising temporal dynamics across countries and
predefined group structures. The package enables identification of patterns, hetero
geneity, and outliers in longitudinal indicators, illustrated through an application
to global air pollution data.
Building on this exploratory foundation, Chapter 4 presents principled visual
isations for the comparison of Bayesian hierarchical model structures in the data
space and the evaluation of multiple models simultaneously. These visual tools
are designed to complement conventional numerical summaries by revealing how
alternative hierarchical specifications influence parameter distributions and uncer
tainty. Through a case study modelling cross national mathematics trends from the
PISA (Programme for International Student Assessment) database, the proposed
approach demonstrates how visual comparison can support more transparent and
informed model selection.
The methods from Chapter 3 and 4 are then adapted and applied in Chapter 5
in a substantive analysis of global family planning indicators. Using group-aware
diagnostic indices and visual comparisons, Chapter 5 evaluates the alignment be
tween observed survey data and model-based estimates from a Bayesian hierarchical
time-series framework used for international monitoring of family planning indica
tors. By jointly examining observed data, modelled trajectories, and diagnostic
measures across countries and sub-regions, the analysis highlights where model es
timates capture underlying trends and where discrepancies emerge.
Together, the contributions show how integrating structured diagnostics with carefully designed visualisations enhance the understanding of country-level panel
data, improve evaluation of hierarchical models, and support more transparent in
terpretation of global development indicators.
| Item Type: | Thesis (PhD) |
|---|---|
| Keywords: | Visualisations; Country-Level; Panel Data; Hierarchical Models; |
| Academic Unit: | Faculty of Science & Engineering > Research Institutes > Hamilton Institute |
| Item ID: | 21814 |
| Depositing User: | IR eTheses |
| Date Deposited: | 20 Aug 2026 14:59 |
| Funders: | Taighde Éireann |
| Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
Downloads
Downloads per month over past year
Share and Export
Share and Export