Noguera, José and Pecchenino, Rowena A. (2005) Can a Cartel Fuel the Engine of Economic Development? CERGE-EI Working Papers (280). pp. 1-35. ISSN 1211-3298
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Abstract
OPEC’s stated mission is to promote the economic development and growth of its
member states while minimizing volatility in the oil markets. But after a promising
beginning many member states’ economies have declined rather than prospered—a
clear indication of OPEC’s failure to meet their development goals. Thus, we ask if a
resource cartel can achieve the joint goals of development and resource market
stability. In a model in which oil producing countries choose whether to join an oil
cartel or remain in the fringe, we find that, in a highly elastic oil market, a profit
maximizing cartel is inconsistent with oil market stability in the face of demand shocks.
Thus, it is inimical to macroeconomic stability, an essential requirement for long-lasting
capital investment, and therefore economic development and growth. Consequently, it
may not be optimal for an oil-exporting country that cares adequately about
macroeconomic stability to join the cartel. But for a country where short-run
considerations overwhelm long-run concerns, cartel membership may be the correct
choice. Yet the oil rich are ultimately cursed by their excessive reliance on their
resource wealth—current profligacy begets future decline.
| Item Type: | Article |
|---|---|
| Additional Information: | © José Noguera, Rowena A. Pecchenino, 2005. |
| Keywords: | OPEC; macroeconomic stability; resource curse; economic development; Oil market volatility; Oil market structure; |
| Academic Unit: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Economics, Finance and Accounting |
| Item ID: | 2806 |
| Depositing User: | Prof. Rowena Pecchenino |
| Date Deposited: | 26 Oct 2011 15:04 |
| Journal or Publication Title: | CERGE-EI Working Papers |
| Publisher: | Charles University, Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education (CERGE) |
| Refereed: | Yes |
| Related URLs: | |
| Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
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