Cullen, Elizabeth (2007) Climate Change and Health in Ireland: A national vulnerability assessment. PhD thesis, National University of Ireland Maynooth.
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Abstract
In keeping with global trends, the mean annual air temperature in Ireland has increased
by 0.5°C over the last 100 years. This is comparable to the global 0.6 °C rise. Climate
change is expected to impact on health, and will have both direct and indirect impacts.
As a result, calls have been made to estimate the impact of climate change on health
nationally.
The health impacts of changes in climatic variables on the Irish population were
estimated and quantified where possible. Mortality, morbidity and climatic data were
obtained from the Central Statistics Office, the Health Protection Surveillance Centre,
Met Eireann and the Irish Climate and Analysis Research Group. Temperature outputs
were obtained from global climate models modified for Irish conditions, and driven by
specified scenarios. An analogue approach was adopted, using curve fitting and
modelling techniques to estimate future impacts on health.
Overall reductions are seen in mortality, increasing as time progresses. The reductions
are evident in total mortality, specifically in respiratory and cardiovascular mortality,
and are greatest in the older population. Changes in the incidence of food-borne disease
were estimated, and increases in the future incidence of salmonella, Campylobacter and
E Coli 0157 were quantified. In areas where increased rainfall and flooding occur, the
incidence of waterborne disease may increase, particularly in areas where the water
supply is predominantly from private wells, and in areas where water treatment facilities
are inadequate. The possibility of increases in other infectious diseases, including
malaria is discussed. Increases may also occur in the incidence of allergic diseases, and
skin cancer.
Recommendations are made and include the development of an educational campaign to
reduce future mortality from heat waves, and measures to reduce the vulnerability of
water supplies to the impact of climate change.
Item Type: | Thesis (PhD) |
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Keywords: | Climate Change; Health in Ireland; |
Academic Unit: | Faculty of Social Sciences > Geography |
Item ID: | 5277 |
Depositing User: | IR eTheses |
Date Deposited: | 07 Aug 2014 11:18 |
URI: | https://mural.maynoothuniversity.ie/id/eprint/5277 |
Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
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