Mcmahon, Barry J., Purvis, Gordon, Sheridan, Helen, Siriwardena, Gavin M. and Parnell, Andrew (2017) A novel method for quantifying overdispersion in count data and its application to farmland birds. International Journal of Avian Science (IBIS), 159 (2). pp. 406-414. ISSN 0019-1019
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Abstract
The statistical modelling of count data permeates the discipline of ecology. Such data
often exhibit overdispersion compared with a standard Poisson distribution, so that the
variance of the counts is greater than that of the mean. Whereas modelling to reveal the
effects of explanatory variables on the mean is commonplace, overdispersion is generally
regarded as a nuisance parameter to be accounted for and subsequently ignored. Instead,
we propose a method that models the overdispersion as a biologically interesting property of a data set and show how novel inference is provided as a result. We adapted the
double hierarchical generalized linear model approach to create an easily extendible
model structure that quantifies the influence of explanatory variables on the overdispersion of count data, and apply it to farmland birds. These data were from a study within
Irish agricultural ecosystems, in which total bird species abundance and the abundance
of farmland indicator species were compared on dairy and non-dairy farms in the winter
and breeding seasons. In general, overdispersion in bird counts was greater on dairy farms
than on non-dairy farms, and for total bird numbers, overdispersion was greatest on dairy
farms in winter. Our code is fitted using the Bayesian package Rstan, and we make all
code and data available in a GitHub repository. Within a Bayesian framework, this
approach facilitates a meaningful quantification of the effects of categorical explanatory
variables on any response variable with a tendency to overdispersion that has a meaningful biological or ecological explanation.
Item Type: | Article |
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Keywords: | abundance; agricultural systems; Bayesian framework; ecological data; |
Academic Unit: | Faculty of Science and Engineering > Mathematics and Statistics Faculty of Science and Engineering > Research Institutes > Hamilton Institute Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Institutes > Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units, ICARUS |
Item ID: | 19093 |
Identification Number: | 10.1111/ibi.12450 |
Depositing User: | Andrew Parnell |
Date Deposited: | 22 Oct 2024 15:51 |
Journal or Publication Title: | International Journal of Avian Science (IBIS) |
Publisher: | Wiley |
Refereed: | Yes |
Related URLs: | |
URI: | https://mural.maynoothuniversity.ie/id/eprint/19093 |
Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
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