Viana, Mafalda, Jackson, Andrew L., Graham, Norman and Parnell, Andrew (2013) Disentangling spatio‐temporal processes in a hierarchical system: a case study in fisheries discards. Ecography, 36 (5). pp. 569-578. ISSN 0906-7590
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Abstract
In the last decade, various spatial and temporal methodologies were developed to investigate the processes that drive
ecological and evolutionary patterns. However, these methods frequently fail to acknowledge that the observed patterns
result from the overlap of different underlying processes. In order to understand how the patterns are formed, we must
have recourse to methods that allow us to disentangle these simultaneous processes. Here we develop a hierarchical
spatial predictive process (PP) combined with a separable temporal PP to disentangle and describe those overlapping
processes in one very frequent setting in ecology and evolution: multilevel spatio-temporally indexed data. We present
our methodology through a case study of fisheries discards and investigate for example whether the inclusion of the hierarchical structure and the temporal processes of the system alter the observed spatial patterns. Recently it is recognized
that understanding the processes driving discards is essential to sustainably manage and conserve marine resources. The
results show that consideration of multiple underlying processes dramatically changes the pattern and characteristics of
the discards hot- and coldspots. In the Irish Sea, the inclusion of the hierarchical structure of the system leads to the
reduction of the hot- and coldspots. Simultaneously, our model identifies key bi-annual fluctuations in the temporal
process which, together with the variance associated at the level of individual fishing trips in the hierarchical structure of
the data explained most of the variance driving discards. Whether the hierarchical, spatial and temporal processes are considered together or not can profoundly alter our understanding of what constitutes an appropriate mitigation measure.
Misidentification of hotspots can culminate in inappropriate mitigation practices which can sometimes be irreversible.
As the proposed method offers a unified approach for understanding the processes that drive observed patterns, many
areas in ecology such as conservation and epidemiological studies can benefit from its use, increasing the effectiveness of
management plans.
Item Type: | Article |
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Keywords: | Disentangling; spatio-temporal; processes; hierarchical system; case study; fisheries discards; |
Academic Unit: | Faculty of Science and Engineering > Mathematics and Statistics Faculty of Science and Engineering > Research Institutes > Hamilton Institute Faculty of Social Sciences > Research Institutes > Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units, ICARUS |
Item ID: | 19119 |
Identification Number: | 10.1111/j.1600-0587.2012.07853.x |
Depositing User: | Andrew Parnell |
Date Deposited: | 29 Oct 2024 16:46 |
Journal or Publication Title: | Ecography |
Publisher: | Wiley |
Refereed: | Yes |
Related URLs: | |
URI: | https://mural.maynoothuniversity.ie/id/eprint/19119 |
Use Licence: | This item is available under a Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial Share Alike Licence (CC BY-NC-SA). Details of this licence are available here |
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